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Posted by Alex Fasanando on October 16, 2017

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Adjusting Your Trading Expectations In Volatile & Possibly Illiquid Markets

Talking Points Liquidity vs. Volatility The Key Premise Of Trading With Technical Analysis The Enhanced Risk Of Thin Markets And Their Origins Adjusting Your Expectations For Extreme Event Risk How To See The Difference of Volatility and Liquidity Why Volatility Is Increasing In The Age Of Algorithms “I would argue in today’s environment that liquidity might be one of the biggest risks we face because it might not be as good as we think it is.” -Mark Yusko of Morgan Creek Capital, May 23 Volatility and liquidity are often lumped together, but they are very different topics that should be understood well. Volatility is a measure of price range over a given time and often utilizes tools like Volatility Bands - which are nothing more than standard deviations around an average price - and average true range readings over a fixed period. Understanding volatility is helpful because the information can help you see where you should pl...

CoT Update – Speculative Gold Long Smallest Since January 2016

COT HIGHLIGHTS: Large speculative position in gold smallest since January 2016 Large spec profile updates for major currencies/markets This past week didn’t bring with it any major changes in speculative positioning. A generally bullish USD theme among large speculators remains in place. Positioning profiles of major currencies show they are as bearish versus USD as they have been in over a year and significantly longer in some contracts. This has unsurprisingly led to a material trimming in gold longs, with large specs’ holding their smallest position since January 2016. Every Friday the CFTC releases a detailed overview of traders’ positioning in the futures market as reported for the week ending on Tuesday. In the table below we’ve outlined key stats concerning the positioning of large speculators (i.e. hedge funds, CTAs, etc.). This group of traders typically employ trend-following strategies. When analyzing the data, we take into consideration the di...

JPY Rises as the BoJ looks to Tweak Monetary Policy - US Market Open

MARKET DEVELOPMENTS – JPY ADVANCES ON REPORTS THAT THE BOJ COULD TWEAK POLICY AT UPCOMING MEETING US equity futures are on the backfoot (DJIA -0.1%, Nasdaq 100 -0.3%, S&P 500 -0.1%) to begin the week. This follows similar declines in EU bourses as investors weigh uncertainty over trade wars amid reports at the back end of last week with optimism over earning season. JPY : The Japanese Yen has been the outperformer following reports that the BoJ could potentially tweak its policy at the upcoming meeting. Subsequently, speculation has increased that the BoJ may announce measures to scale back its massive monetary policy stimulus. The sources piece noted that the BoJ were in active discussions in regard to altering its yield curve control target and stock buying techniques in order to increase its effective in order to push up inflation. USDJPY briefly broke through the 111.00 handle to the downside, however a recovery...

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